Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (9.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
The Denver Broncos defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to accrue 2.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr has grinded out just 7.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the league among quarterbacks (24th percentile).

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