Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (10.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.6% in games he has played).
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to accumulate 2.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr has grinded out a mere 6.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (22nd percentile).
Derek Carr's running effectiveness (3.73 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (14th percentile among QBs).

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