Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (7.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.5% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
Derek Carr's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 6.84 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.73 rate last season.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most yards in the league (143 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to notch 1.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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