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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (9.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.7% in games he has played).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (143 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to accumulate 2.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Derek Carr has picked up just 6.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the league among quarterbacks (24th percentile).

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