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Derek Carr
NFL · Player Props
Derek Carr
QB · New Orleans Saints
Passing Yards
New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Derek Carr Passing Yards

Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 213.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 211.5 @ -113.

Favors Over
  • The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Derek Carr to throw 36.9 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league vs. the Patriots defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
  • The Saints O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Derek Carr's 185.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a an impressive decline in his throwing talent over last season's 237.0 figure.
  • Derek Carr's 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a a noteable reduction in his passing effectiveness over last season's 7.1% figure.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 216.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Patriots defense this year.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
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