Derek Carr Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 221.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
This year, the tough Panthers defense has conceded a meager 187.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best in the league.
The Panthers pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

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