Derek Carr Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 247.5 (-155/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 247.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 38.1 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Derek Carr's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 62.7%.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 216.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year (65.8%).

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