Derek Carr Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-147/+107).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 37.6 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (72.9%).
The Indianapolis Colts defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Derek Carr has thrown for substantially fewer yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (258.0).
Derek Carr's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 61.4%.

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