Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 5:26 PM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Saints are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Derek Carr is anticipated by the projections to total the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.7.

Favors Under

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (56.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Saints.
The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.28 seconds per play.

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