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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • The predictive model expects Derek Carr to throw 37.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

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