Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
The predictive model expects Derek Carr to throw 37.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

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