Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.98 seconds per snap.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

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