Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Pass Attempts

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 11:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

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