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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Derek Carr has attempted 36.4 throws per game this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

More Derek Carr Player Props

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