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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Derek Carr has attempted 36.5 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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