Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Pass Attempts

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Derek Carr has attempted 36.5 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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