Derek Carr Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Pass Attempts

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 36.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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