Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 23, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles have intercepted 0.53 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-worst defense in the league by this stat
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers project as the 6th-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football (57.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
In throwing just 0.50 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Derek Carr places among the top QBs in the league (76th percentile).

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