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Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-139/+107).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -139.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.Derek Carr has logged a mere 0.46 interceptions per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile among quarterbacks.The Dallas Cowboys have intercepted 1.02 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best defense in football by this stat.When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Dallas's collection of CBs has been terrific since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
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