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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Interceptions
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This week, Derek Carr is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 10th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.1.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.7% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.5 per game) this year.
  • The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.97 passes per game this year, ranking as the 8th-best defense in football by this standard.

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