Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
This week, Derek Carr is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 10th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.1.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.7% pass rate.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.5 per game) this year.
The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams have intercepted 0.97 passes per game this year, ranking as the 8th-best defense in football by this standard.

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