Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Interceptions

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
The predictive model expects Derek Carr to throw 37.0 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.11 balls per game this year, ranking as the worst defense in football by this statistic
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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