Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Interceptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 36.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
The Houston Texans have intercepted 1.02 balls per game this year, grading out as the 7th-best defense in the NFL by this standard.
The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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