Derek Carr Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Interceptions

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 36.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.