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Derek Carr
NFL · Player Props
Derek Carr
QB · New Orleans Saints
Completions
New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Derek Carr Completions

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +105.

Favors Over
  • The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the NFL against the Detroit Lions defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).
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