Derek Carr Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Completions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-126).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 37.6 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (72.9%).
The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Derek Carr's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 61.4%.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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