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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to attempt 39.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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