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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Carries
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 43.3% run rate.
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This week, Derek Carr is predicted by the model to notch the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.7.
  • Derek Carr is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for just 4.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to QBs.

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