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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the league last year, averaging a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Derek Carr is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 2nd-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.6.

Derek Carr is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 3.3% of his team's run game usage last year, placing him in the 13th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's collection of DEs has been exceptional last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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