Deonte Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deonte Harris

NFL · Player Props

Deonte Harris

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Deonte Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
Deonte Harris has gone out for fewer passes this season (27.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (10.5%).
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
With an exceptional 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (93rd percentile) this year, Deonte Harris places among the most reliable receivers in the league among wide receivers.
The New York Giants pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, giving up 9.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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