Deonte Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Deonte Harris

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Deonte Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
Deonte Harris's 26.7% Route% this season reflects a a substantial improvement in his passing attack volume over last season's 10.5% rate.
The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
With an excellent 83.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (88th percentile) this year, Deonte Harris rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wideouts.
This year, the shaky Jaguars defense has surrendered the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 6.23 YAC.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Deonte Harris has been among the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a mere 11.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 17th percentile among WRs.
Deonte Harris has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a mere 4.10 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 12th percentile when it comes to WRs
Since the start of last season, the formidable Jaguars defense has conceded a mere 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.