Deonte Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Deonte Harris

NFL · Player Props

Deonte Harris

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Deonte Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, giving up 9.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has not been good when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.05 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
Deonte Harris has been on the field for 12.9% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 20th percentile among wide receivers.

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