Deon Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Deon Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Deon Jackson

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Deon Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
Opposing squads have run for the most yards in the league (170 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Deon Jackson has been among the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.22 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 25th percentile.

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