Deon Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Deon Jackson

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Deon Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to accrue 14.5 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (51.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.8% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 3.82 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year with their run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.