Deon Jackson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Deon Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Deon Jackson

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Deon Jackson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+107/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to accrue 2.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Deon Jackson has compiled a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Deon Jackson has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.

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