Demetric Felton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Demetric Felton

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Demetric Felton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
Demetric Felton has accumulated a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Demetric Felton has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging an impressive 7.39 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Demetric Felton has been among the top RBs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 10.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Demetric Felton has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 24.9% of snaps vs just 12.0% last year.