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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

With a terrific 4.1 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) this year, Demario Douglas stands as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

Demario Douglas's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.1% to 77.2%.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 52.9% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a measly 27.9 per game) this year.

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