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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

With an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Demario Douglas has been as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

Demario Douglas's 77.1% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year's 64.1% rate.

The Colts pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72%) to wide receivers this year (72.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

The Indianapolis cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

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