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Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.The projections expect Demario Douglas to total 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.With an impressive 4.4 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Demario Douglas rates among the best pass-catching WRs in the league.Demario Douglas's 76.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteable progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 64.1% mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.This year, the fierce Bears defense has conceded a paltry 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.
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