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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The predictive model expects Demario Douglas to garner 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The leading projections forecast Demario Douglas to be much more involved in his team's passing game in this contest (20.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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