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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.

This week, Demario Douglas is projected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.

The projections expect Demario Douglas to be much less involved in his team's pass game in this game (6.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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