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Demario Douglas
NFL · Player Props
Demario Douglas
WR · New England Patriots
Receptions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Demario Douglas Receptions

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.
  • This week, Demario Douglas is projected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.
  • The projections expect Demario Douglas to be much less involved in his team's pass game in this game (6.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.
Favors Under
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
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