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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect Demario Douglas to earn 6.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
  • Demario Douglas's 77.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a material growth in his receiving talent over last season's 64.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Patriots as the 11th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.7 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 44.0 air yards per game last year, Demario Douglas has posted significant losses this year, now sitting at 34.0 per game.

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