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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Demario Douglas's 77.1% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a meaningful growth in his receiving talent over last year's 64.1% rate.

Demario Douglas comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The Colts pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72%) to wide receivers this year (72.0%).

This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 9.09 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Demario Douglas has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

The Indianapolis cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

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