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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Demario Douglas's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 64.1% to 77.4%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.16 seconds per play, the projections expect the New England Patriots as the 4th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • After totaling 44.0 air yards per game last season, Demario Douglas has seen a big downtick this season, currently averaging 31.0 per game.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

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