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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.
  • The projections expect Demario Douglas to total 6.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • Demario Douglas's 76.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a noteable progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 64.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Demario Douglas has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Demario Douglas ranks as one of the least efficient receivers in football, averaging just 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile when it comes to wideouts

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