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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.

The predictive model expects Demario Douglas to garner 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The leading projections forecast Demario Douglas to be much more involved in his team's passing game in this contest (20.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).

This year, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has surrendered a massive 203.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Demario Douglas rates as one of the top WRs in the league in the NFL in the open field.

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