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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.
  • This week, Demario Douglas is projected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.9 targets.
  • The projections expect Demario Douglas to be much less involved in his team's pass game in this game (6.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).
  • This year, the poor New York Giants defense has yielded a colossal 183.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst in football.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Demario Douglas checks in as one of the weakest wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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