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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 131.0 plays on offense run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 2.1 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a meaningful regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 3.4 rate.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 50.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 70.2% figure.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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