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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Rams to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Demarcus Robinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (90.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

Demarcus Robinson's receiving talent has tailed off this season, accumulating just 2.2 adjusted catches vs 3.4 last season.

Demarcus Robinson's 52.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.2% figure.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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