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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Demarcus Robinson is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 81st percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.

While Demarcus Robinson has accounted for 14.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing attack in this contest at 20.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 70.2% to 49.6%.

Since the start of last season, the tough Chicago Bears defense has given up a measly 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 10th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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