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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.

Demarcus Robinson has run fewer routes this year (84.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

Demarcus Robinson's 1.8 adjusted catches per game this year shows a meaningful regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.4 rate.

Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 70.2% to 51.0%.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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