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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

Demarcus Robinson has been used less as a potential target this season (85.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (43.2%).

As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, New York's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

Demarcus Robinson's receiving talent has diminished this season, notching a mere 2.0 adjusted catches vs 3.4 last season.

Demarcus Robinson's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 70.2% to 53.6%.

The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. WRs this year (62.6%).

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