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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

Demarcus Robinson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (86.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.2%).

This year, the shaky Bills pass defense has conceded a monstrous 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Demarcus Robinson's play as a receiver has declined this year, accumulating a mere 2.3 adjusted catches vs 3.4 last year.

Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.2% to 56.1%.

More Demarcus Robinson Player Props

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